Gold fever, job jitters and market whiplash: What SME owners need to know now
Global markets are sending mixed signals. US jobs data shows strength with complexity, gold is facing potential supply constraints, and volatility is back in equities and crypto. For SME owners considering capital raising, exits or acquisitions, these dynamics matter. They influence buyer confidence, valuation multiples and timing strategies.
At Morgan Shaw Advisory, we believe uncertainty is not a reason to pause. It is a reason to plan smarter. Our EBITDA+ SIX STEPS TO SUCCESS™ framework equips businesses to navigate these cycles and unlock maximum value.
Why this matters now
Recent market updates highlight three key trends:
Labour market nuance: Strong US payroll growth combined with a rising unemployment rate and moderating wages suggests a delicate balancing act for central banks. Interest rate expectations will shift quickly, impacting cost of capital and deal appetite.
Gold and safe-haven flows: Persistent central bank buying and potential supply squeezes signal a flight to safety. This often coincides with risk-off sentiment in equities, something SME owners should watch if planning a sale or acquisition.
Crypto regulation in Australia: Treasury’s proposed licensing regime for digital assets could reshape fintech and payments businesses. Regulatory clarity is positive long term, but near-term uncertainty may dampen valuations in the sector.
These factors create a backdrop where timing and preparation are critical for any business owner considering a transaction.
Insightful analysis
Selling a business is both being in good shape and exceptional. Sophisticated buyers will uncover weaknesses, so owners must ensure their business is “game ready.” This means excelling across financial strength, market attractiveness, competitive advantage, client retention and operational maturity. Businesses that achieve this can command higher valuations and attract committed buyers who move quickly with fewer conditions.
Negotiation is another critical stage and it’s a must to consider price, structure, timing and conditions. Thus, preparation is key. Understanding buyer motivations and leveraging professional advisors can help secure the best possible outcome.
How MSA helps you prepare
Our proven process bridges the gap between where your business stands and where you want it to be. Guided by EBITDA+ SIX STEPS TO SUCCESS™, we focus on:
Building a strategic plan that addresses every value driver including operations, finance, marketing and people.
Allocating resources and responsibilities to ensure disciplined execution.
Running focused action sessions to tackle critical issues and maintain agility.
Establishing an advisory committee dedicated to increasing value and preparing for a successful sale.
This structured approach ensures your business is positioned to attract the right buyers and achieve the best possible outcome.
Actionable steps for SME owners
Review your capital structure and debt exposure ahead of potential rate shifts.
Stress-test your business model for resilience under slower growth scenarios.
For tech and crypto-adjacent businesses, start compliance planning now.
Engage advisors early to capture windows of opportunity when sentiment improves.
Ready to explore your options?
Book a confidential strategy session with Morgan Shaw Advisory. We will help you turn uncertainty into opportunity. Visit morganshawadvisory.com/resources to learn more about exit readiness and valuation strategies.